If Ethiopia experiences scenario four (among the WHO transmission scenarios for COVID-19), approximately 11,000,000 persons (10%) of the total population will contract symptomatic infection, over a period of 2-3 months. Of these cases; 1,650,000 (15%) will seek healthcare (out of which 330,000 (20%) would require hospital admission and 82,500 (5%) would be admitted to the intensive care unit).
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